Wednesday, April 28, 2010

Theo Peckham: Rock And A Hard Place

I'm beginning our look at 09-10 defenseman with a very important piece of the future: Theo Peckham. Unique among the young defensemen knocking at the NHL door, Peckham has the physical tools required to play at this level. There are concerns with regard to injury and conditioning, but the resume is a good one.
  • Boxcars: 15gp, 0-1-1
  • Shots: 9
  • Plus Minus: -8
  • Corsi (Rel): -12.6 (5th among D, DNQ)
  • GF/GA ON: 5-12
  • 5x5/60: 0.28 (6th among F's, DNQ)
  • 5x4/60: nil
  • Quality of Competition: 5th toughest among D's
  • Quality of Teammates: 7th best among D's 
  • Offensive Zone Start FO %: 38.9% (toughest among D's, DNQ)
  • Cap Hit: $600,000 (RFA)
  1. What do these numbers tell us? Peckham was injured before training camp and then conditioning was a problem (such a problem the Oilers management actually mentioned it). You can see it too: in October 2009, Peckham went 4gp, 0-0-0 -5. In his 11 March games, he was 0-1-1 -3. The kid was playing bigger minutes in March too.
  2. How could these numbers be better? Just more time. He had 43 pims and was a willing fighter, and he had calm feet (or calmer feet) late in the season. Peckham gives you the idea that he can make a play, be it a physical manhandling or reading a situation. He is somewhat alone among the group of defensemen bubbling under for the Oilers.
  3. What was said about his conditioning? Last fall, Rob Daum was on Bob Stauffer's show and suggested conditioning was an issue. He even mentioned conditioning was an issue when Peckham was healthy. I think the problem may have come from not being able to workout due to the pre-training camp injury (ankle) but either way it was enough of an issue for management to say it out loud and that's a pretty big deal.
  4. What's he good at? Why do you like him? Peckham plays with confidence and is tough enough to stand in there during all those physical exchanges around the net. He's 6.02, 225 and although there will be growing pains I can't see anyone in the system being close to this guy in the fall.
  5. Did management show any kind of trust in him? Pat Quinn: "When I first saw him (in an Oilers uniform), the scouting report was that he was a tough kid who didn't really know how to play. When he came back (on his most recent call-up), he showed us that he had a little bit more than just being a tough guy. As he played and gained our confidence, he was gaining his own as well. They were really good minutes for him."
  6. How important is he to the organization? Pretty important. I think the organization is probably moving their depth chart around, with Chorney stepping into an elevator shaft and Petry's NHL ETA being pushed back. If we can agree that Plante and Motin will need some more time in the AHL, then Theo Peckham is it. Also, there's every chance the club is going to sign someone from the Strudwick-Johnson tree, meaning that Peckham has an extremely reachable bar in terms of getting into the top 6D on the depth chart. And that's before injuries.
Projected Role in 2009-10: Top 6D on the Edmonton Oilers

73 comments:

  1. I've been a big fan of Peckham's since his first Golden Bears-Oiler rookies game. I'm very interested to see what happens next year in the NHL since his results in the AHL have been very complimentary to this point.

    Sean Brown was his original comparable but how about Matt Greene now? Obviously they took different developmental paths for their junior years (CHL vs. NCAA), but I could see their development equalling out since Greene treaded water at the NHL for a while Peckham largely succeeded in his extended time in the AHL.

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  2. He's going to have to learn to tell a joke before he earns the greene comp. :)

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  3. I would like to see Peckham have about 50-60 GP next year, so it would be important to sign two Dman from the Strudwick-Johnson tree, but please not have one of those guys named Strudwick.

    Peckham needs to be a 5-6 D all season long regardless of injuries. He might even need a few trips to the press box as a quick kick in the ass.

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  4. FPB: ??? Peckham's skill set isn't going to do much for the Oilers offensively. He's going to earn his money down low and in the defensive end.

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  5. Quality of Teammates: 7th best among D's.

    This made me chuckle. So essentially his "help" as a rookie (or 2nd coffee-cup, whatever) was a press-box level D-man.

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  6. I'm sure FPB is referring to that wicked blast on which MAB just scored to give the Habs in Game 7.

    Buddy always could shoot the puck.

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  7. Bruce: Oh. Shoot, I forgot the game was on early.

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  8. Semin has no balls and as long as the Caps are too scared to take the puck to the slot they're not going to win games in April, May & June.

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  9. This must be what it was like to get gut-shot in the desert during wild west days. You know you're going to die, but it is going to take awhile. Meanwhile, you're concious and the vultures are circling.

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  10. Pierre Mcguire's complete inability to understand the shot block totals speak to possession, not the Habs wanting it more, is going to lead to me throwing something at the TV.

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  11. Peckham is the type of player the other team hates to play against and the Oilers don't have enough of this type of player. There is room for him to slot in the 5-6 on this team.

    Peckham has limited puck skills, but he battles, which is more than I can say for a lot of the team. I hope the collision with Murray doesn't deter him from contact, he'll need to bring it each and every game.

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  12. Only fuckin Cuntreal can do this over two games.

    Semin looks utterly clueless out there.

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  13. well said DangerMan! and we don't have enough of his type of player on this team, do we? i would be surprised if he didn't get some good ice time next year. i think he's ready for the big time now.

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  14. The ghost of Sam Pollack is a real piss cutter.

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  15. Nice play by Chimera, with the free shot at net.

    Brings back memories, lol.

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  16. I know Boudreau has won at every level as a coach, but this caps team has a terrible system. I'm not surprised they got outstered.

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  17. Funny how the difference was a questionable disallowed goal call.

    What was that about the Habs and getting the benefit of the doubt from the refs Lowetide?

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  18. WOOOOO HOOOO!

    Biggest upset of this decade.

    Props to them. They were warriors.

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  20. Hbomb: Yeah i guess interfering with the goalie in his zone, is a questionable call.

    Go read the rules.

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  21. "Montreal fluked it out, end of story."

    Yeah, coming back from 3-1 down in a series against the Presidents Trophy winners = fluke.

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  22. I know Boudreau has won at every level as a coach, but this caps team has a terrible system. I'm not surprised they got outstered.

    Yeah Montreal showed more heart and determination whilst getting outshot and outchanced by a massive margin.

    The Habs fluked one out, end of story.

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  23. Yeah, coming back from 3-1 down in a series against the Presidents Trophy winners = fluke.

    I'm glad we agree?

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  24. The Caps outshot Montreal 133 to 66 over the last 3 games and lost all 3. I think this has very little to do with Boudreau's system, (although I'm sure that'll be the big story for Washington in the offseason), and a lot to do with an extremely hot goaltender.

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  25. and a lot to do with an extremely hot goaltender.

    I see your "extremely hot goaltender" and raise you "bounces".

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  26. To borrow a term from Vic: we're about to be bombarded with a slew of "backwards narrating".

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  27. Kinger: Yeah i guess they managed a historical victory with fluke.

    (First 8th seed to overcome 1st seed after being down 1-3)

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  28. Kinger: Yeah i guess Halak was fluke also. I mean there's no way he was good right?

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  30. Kinger: Yeah i guess Halak was fluke also. I mean there's no way he was good right?

    Exactly; and that's why he had a >.950 save percentage all season.

    BIG goals.

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  31. Holy shit what's with all the sarcastic non-arguments that strengthen my point: Kinger: Yeah i guess they managed a historical victory with fluke.

    (First 8th seed to overcome 1st seed after being down 1-3)

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  32. 41 Blocked shots. Must be luck.

    I guess we should put the 2006 win against the Wings in the fluke section also

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  33. Kinger: Yeah i guess Halak was fluke also. I mean there's no way he was good right?

    His .990 PK save percentage was PURE SKILL.

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  34. Well, MacT fully endorses the Caps goal being waved off.

    I guess he's on Montreal's payroll too. ;)

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  35. 41 Blocked shots. Must be luck.

    They had 41 blocked shots because the puck only left their zone for brief amounts of time.

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  36. Kinger: Yep. That's how having a real goaltender feels like. I guess you forgot how it feels to have a goalie who can play on it's head.

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  37. 41 Blocked shots. Must be luck.

    I'm sure the Caps would have managed similar totals if Montreal hadn't cleverly let them have possession of the puck in the offensive zone all game.

    Here's the thing, FPV: I was actually cheering for the Habs until you came along.

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  38. Kinger: Yep. That's how having a real goaltender feels like. I guess you forgot how it feels to have a goalie who can play on it's head.

    Yeah what? Is there a statement here? An argument?

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  40. The Oilers 2nd round pick re: Nashville Predators fell down one spot today as now one of Boston/Philadelphia is guaranteed to make it to the Conference finals.

    So I believe we now will draft 1st, 31st, and 51st.

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  41. At least watch the damn games

    Next thing we know you'll be asking me if I ever played the game. You clearly have the high ground here.

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  42. I now remember why i hate the habs so much....and it has less to do with the team than the fans

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  43. I'm going to have to change the title of this post to "Flaming Pavel Bure at the Alamo (with Davy Crockett and hunter 1909)."

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  44. ''The overriding rationale of this rule is that a goalkeeper should have the ability to move freely within his goal crease without being hindered by the actions of an attacking player. If an attacking player enters the goal crease and, by his actions, impairs the goalkeeper’s ability to defend his goal, and a goal is scored, the goal will be disallowed''


    He made contact with Halak in his crease, and shoved impairing his ability to stop the puck.

    No goal

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  45. I'm going to have to change the title of this post to "Flaming Pavel Bure at the Alamo (with Davy Crockett and hunter 1909)."

    I'd read it. Of course, I already do.

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  46. I think the "by his actions" part is key....he was pushed into the crease no?

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  47. Oilman: No, he went on his own. He was behind Hal Gill.

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  48. Don't worry, everyone. There's another series of breaks straight ahead for the CH.

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  49. There was contact with Gill, minor contact. And minor contact again with Halak. Honestly, that play happens 100 times a year and the goal stands.

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  50. I couldn't care less who won that series, but nevertheless it's hilarious to see an upset, especially when Chimera held the series in his hands for that single solitary second and true to form, blew it like the loser he always was for the Oilers.

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  51. LT: You went all the way to the cup with those.

    I guess all the people around Hockey don't have a clue and it's purely based on fluke, luck and other things.

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  52. I'm waiting to jump on the Leafs bandwagon, in 2027.

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  53. Oil: The rule was applied by the book. Purely and simply. Not all the refs have the same standards.

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  54. Thing with Washington is they're so damn skilled but you look at how bad they are at the cycle in their own end. The long line changes. The perimeter play with guys not using their linemates.

    That's where coaching can help.

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  55. I can't really watch Montreal play.

    Technically it's hockey, I guess.

    But watching all their players pile up in front of their goalie makes it look more like rugby or football, and all of their diving makes it look like soccer.

    Once upon a time the flying frenchmen were the best in the world, its such a pale imitation now.

    Funny that they knocked out the Caps though.

    Original six Eastern final!

    All they have to do is beat Pittsburgh.

    Hehe.

    Boston against Philly will be fun, talk about a physical series.

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  56. Washington very finely illustrated the point that blindly firing 8 billion shots doesn't do a bloody thing.

    If they'd taken their time and actually made plays, only taking 20 shots, they'd probably have won one of these games easily.

    STUPID. STUPID. STUPID!

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  57. I don't give much of a flying fuck who wins, but Knuble went right into the crease and made contact with the goalie just as the shot was coming. That's a pretty clear violation.

    The zebras also waved one off at the other end a few minutes later.

    Amazing stat: the Caps were held under 2 goals just 3 times in 82 games. Now Jaro Halak has held them under 2 goals 3 games in a row.

    One of the great goaltending performances I can remember.

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  58. Here I thought I had left all that petty crap behind at HF when I gave up on that hole.

    fpb, your team just came through with an outstanding upset, why don't you just enjoy it with some class? You aren't going to change anybody's opinion...of events anyway.

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  59. Hoil: Enjoying with class is tough when everyone spits on the event.

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  60. Not spitting on the event, just you interpretation of why it happened.

    And no one here could give a shit about the Habs, you are really in the wrong place.

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  61. FPB: What in hell do you expect? This is an OILERS blog!!! Aren't there any good Habs blogs????

    Maybe start one.

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  62. Lowetide: Regardless of being the Habs. It's a historical NHL event.

    Hugh, anyway i give up.

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  63. Not spitting on the event, just you interpretation of why it happened.

    In fairness to FPB, the Habs bad-mouthing started before he advanced his theory that Halak's save percentage was the result of his becoming the best goalie in hockey history for the 2010 playoffs, rather than because of a run of good luck. He's not doing himself any favours, though.

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  64. ummmmm,

    how did i get brought into this?

    :-)

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  65. Obviously the Habs victory is a huge upset. On the other hand if you regard it as anything more than good goaltending and luck that's probably overstating the result and trying to apply a narrative that lacks any evidentiary foundation.

    Halak having a 97% save percentage during the playoffs, while his team is being brutally outshot isn't sustainable over the longer term. He played extremely well, but luck is certainly a factor. You don't spend most of a game on your heels and come out ahead without luck being a factor.

    By the same token the Oilers were terribly lucky to have defeated Detriot in 2006. Sometimes you do role double sixes though. Its not a high percentage thing though.

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  66. Great series between the Habs and the Caps.

    I hadn't watched the habs much this year until this series, but really came away impressed with Mike Cammalleri. What a great hockey player and smart too. He proves you don't have to be a coke machine to be an effective NHL player. Heck, most of our forwards are bigger than him.

    I'd sure love to know what Darryl Sutter was thinking when he made the decision to trade a 1st round draft pick for Olli Jokinen and let Cammalerri walk for nothing. If that's not the worst bit of asset management this side of the building on Kingsway Avenue, I don't know what is.

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  67. I've been a big fan of Peckham's since his first Golden Bears-Oiler rookies game.

    Me too jon k...

    I posted on the hf board that I expected Peckham to make the Oilers within a season - guessed I jumped the gun a wee bit...

    Hope this is the right place to post this - it appeared to be a Peckham thread at one point... ;-)

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