Saturday, May 26, 2007

Sleeper

This is Esa Tikkanen. He's one of the reasons I'm so fond of the Finns (others include Jari Kurri, their fan's public drunkenness during any international hockey tournament, and their SM-LIIGA team sites have cheerleaders. Jokerit calls them "cheer up teams" and God knows we could have used one of those this season).

For those who don't remember, Esa Tikkanen arrived as kind of a bonus. If HF had been around back in the day, it is extremely unlikely Guy Flaming would have been trumpeting his arrival in North America. Esa was taken in the 4th round of the 1983 draft (82nd overall), about 15 spots below where JF Jacques was taken.

Tikkanen played in the SJHL for the Regina Pat Blues (he did play in the WHL for 2 games as a 16 year old) but spent his draft year playing in Finland for Helsinki (he had a solid WJC, 7gp, 2-3-5) in the Finnish Junior League (he scored 34 goals in 30 games).

I remember the Oilers talking about Raimo Summanen a lot more than they talked about Tikkanen, but from the first time he played for them (in the playoffs, spring 1985) it was obvious he was something else. Great player, miss watching him a tremendous amount.

I'm wondering if there is a hidden gem amongst the Oilers prospects as we speak. I'm not saying he has to be 20-years old and play with skill and an edge, but the Oilers have had a few nice players come out of nowhere over the years. Recent examples might be Fernando Pisani, Marc Andre Bergeron and Patrick Thoresen.

So, understanding Craig MacTavish's attention to detail, the Oilers recent experience with inexperience, and the coach's increased role in procurement, can we identify a player or two from outside the so-called blue chippers?

First, let's make a list of the Oilers top prospects. I'll do 25, this is a random list not in any order. Slava Trukhno, Andrew Cogliano, Rob Schremp, Marc Pouliot, Tom Gilbert, Devan Dubnyk, Robert Nilsson, Taylor Chorney, Denis Grebeshkov, Ryan O'Marra, Jeff Petry, Kyle Brodziak, Jeff Deslauriers, Alexei Mikhnov, Brian Young, Dragan Umicevic, Theo Peckham, Jozef Hrabel, Fredrik Petterson, Mathieu Roy, Glenn Fisher, Cody Wild, Danny Syvret, JF Jacques, Zach Stortini.

Outside those 25, who might the coach tap this fall?

RW Colin McDonald: He played for Providence College, who apparently outlawed the forward pass and went to student body left, student body right offense. McDonald is a big kid (6-3, 205) and his scouting reports have been in sharp contrast to his unimpressive college scoring totals. He'll be 23 on September 30 and they haven't even signed him yet (his college career is over), but McDonald may surprise. His 13 goals led his team, and only one other player had more than 6 goals. In their entire season, Providence scored 76 goals. That total (McDonald scored 17% of his team's goals) isn't Rob Schremp in his final year of junior (he scored 19% of his team's 299 goals) but it might indicate he is a better offensive player than the numbers imply. When Fernando Pisani played at Providence College as a senior, his club managed 114 goals (Pisani scored 14, or 12%). I'm not saying he's Pisani, but they were similar in terms of where they ranked on their respective clubs (you could argue both were the second best offensive options for their teams). Then again, what makes Pisani special was that he became Pisani, not where he started from in college. Either way, an interesting player if they sign him and a possible sleeper.

RW David Rohlfs: Now this guy is HUGE. 6-3, 235. He played defense for much of his college career, but switched back to RW (he played on TJ Hensick's line) and had a solid year. Rohlfs has a funny name, has been overshadowed by more skilled players throughout his career, but with his size and the coaching he's already received (Michigan is an outstanding college for hockey players) Rohlfs might be the sleeper in this bunch.

C Jonas Almtorp: Another wonky name, this guy impressed in camp last fall and looks to have had another consistent season in the Swedish Elite League. He's got decent size, is a good skater and is described as being aware of his defensive duties. He's a player who might get a shot if the Oilers make one or two of those 3-for-1 deals involving a center like Pouliot.

11 comments:

  1. Almtorp is the guy - older (right?), sounds like a guy who knows his way around his own end.

    God knows we need someone like that.

    Among other things.

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  2. bdhs: They're all older for prospects. Almtorp is 24 in November, Rolhfs is 23 in June and McDonald is 23 in September.

    I do agree though that Almtorp is more advanced just based on his 150 games in the Swedish Elite League.

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  3. If HF had been around back in the day, it is extremely unlikely Guy Flaming would have been trumpeting his arrival in North America.

    I don't know that this is accurate. He WAS an Oilers prospect, after all.

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  4. Yeah I have been saying that in recent months that Rolfhs is my dark horse pick to possibly pull a Pisani in the future.

    I watched him play about 20 games this NCAA season. He reminds me of Pisani a lot, even his body position and the way he holds his stick and skates etc... vaguely remind me of Fernando.

    Good body position guy, defense first. If I had to project him in the NHL it would be like Fernando. Always defensively responsible but has some decent offensive skills (though I think they will be limited at the big league level - likely never reaches 20 goals).

    Berenson on Guy's show this year praised his defensive game quite highly and I respect Red's opinion quite a bit.

    He has nice size and uses it to protect the puck and neutralize guys defensively positionally but I had not really noticed him use it much physically as far any kind of punishment. I am pulling for the kid.

    I have not seen Almtorp at all but the reports on him are pretty nice, I recall a lot of praise for his PK work in TC.

    McDonald I am neutral on. Guy seems to like the guy a lot and that at least gives me some hope. Overall outside of Guy I have not heard much about him.

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  5. oilerdiehard:

    Years ago I heard a guy on John Short's show named Kirk Luedeke and since he posted on the HFboards Boston site I emailed him. Turns out he's a reporter for the "New England Hockey Journal" and has seen Colin McDonald since before he was drafted and several times in Providence.

    He claims McDonald's style is better suited to pro and that he's a much better player than the numbers show.

    We'll see, but imo there's at least enough of a curiousity to sign the guy.

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  6. McDonald, Rolhfs and Umicevic and wave goodbye to the rest for all it matters. We can get UFA's from Europe who are better than any of our existing Euro prospects if we want - so why waste the time and money? Even with Umicevic - he is either willing to come over and play in the AHL for a year or I ditch him as well.

    McDonald and Rolhfs - probably more likely to become the next Brock Radunske than the next Pisani - but they at least look worthy of a shot in the AHL. If they can't even make the AHL at their age though - then they are just another couple of busted coke machines.

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  7. LT - I must confess you have peaked my interest in the very least. So do you expect McDonald will be signed soon then?

    Guy is high on him and now New England Journal guy. I wonder if the Oil sign him but not Paukovich or do they keep both? Paukovich has one more year left in college, correct?

    When I was younger I used to love listening to John Short (I also got a radio station through a cable channel from Van and Brian Burke would be on it every week, man he was interesting to listen to, he used to rage every few weeks about kids in BC wearing Oiler shirts and hats and how our scouting was horrible among other thigns). Remember that Sports poet guy Short used to have on back in the day?

    It is embarrassing but I actually called John in my late teens to talk about training camp and Juha Riihijarvi as I got all caught up in the fact he beat Selanne out in the Finnish scoring race before he left for the NHL.

    I think the guy got what 25 points in the AHL and gonzo. I looked him up a while ago he is still playing pro hockey in Finland apparently.

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  8. Guy has awesome access but his opinions are, shall we say, clouded.

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  9. Tyler Spurgeon.

    All his coaches have nothing but good things to say, and he wasn't too shabby in his abbreviated AHL rookie season. 15 points in 34 games.

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  10. I just added your web page to my favorites. I like reading your posts. Thanks!

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